Solar Energy in the US in 2026
Solar energy is electricity generated by converting sunlight into power using photovoltaic (PV) panels or concentrating solar-thermal systems. A solar PV panel works by absorbing photons from sunlight and converting them into direct current (DC) electricity through the photoelectric effect; an inverter then converts that DC electricity into alternating current (AC) that can power homes, businesses, and the electric grid. Solar installations fall into three segments: utility-scale (large ground-mounted arrays feeding directly into the grid, typically above 1 megawatt), commercial and industrial (rooftop and ground-mounted systems for businesses), and residential (rooftop systems for individual homes). The United States has, as of 2026, a nationwide infrastructure of solar installations spanning all 50 states, Puerto Rico, and the District of Columbia, with the entire solar supply chain now reshored domestically — a milestone confirmed by SEIA’s data in early 2026 showing that since a wafer manufacturing facility opened in Q3 2025, the United States now has the capacity to produce every major component of the solar supply chain domestically for the first time.
In 2026, solar is unambiguously the dominant force in new US electricity generation. The US installed 43.2 gigawatts (GW) of new solar capacity in 2025 — making it the fifth consecutive year that solar was the number-one source of new electricity-generating capacity added to the US grid, accounting for 54% of all new generating capacity. The EIA’s latest Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory for December 2025 projects that US power plant developers plan to add 86 GW of new utility-scale electric generating capacity in 2026 — a record if realized — with solar comprising 51% of that total, at 43.4 GW of planned utility-scale additions alone. The EIA further projects that cumulative US solar installations will reach approximately 182 GW by end-2026, up from 153 GW at end-2025 and just 91 GW at end-2023 — meaning the US is on track to double its cumulative solar capacity in just three years. Solar now generates nearly 9% of total US electricity, up from 6.9% in 2024 — more than seven times its share a decade ago — with renewables overall providing more than 26% of US electricity in 2025.
Interesting Solar Energy Facts in the US 2026
| Fact | Verified Data |
|---|---|
| US solar installed in 2025 | 43.2 GWdc — 5th straight year as top source of new power |
| Solar share of all new US capacity (2025) | 54% |
| Solar + storage share of new US capacity (2025) | 79% |
| Solar + wind + storage share (2025) | 92% of all new generation capacity |
| Cumulative US solar capacity — end of 2023 | 91 GW |
| Cumulative US solar capacity — end of 2024 | 121 GW (record-breaking 50 GW added) |
| Cumulative US solar capacity — end of 2025 | ~153 GW (EIA; SEIA = 279 GWdc all-in including small-scale) |
| Cumulative US solar capacity — end-2026 (EIA forecast) | ~182 GW utility-scale |
| SEIA cumulative 2026 (all segments) | ~324 GWdc projected |
| EIA planned utility-scale solar additions in 2026 | 43.4 GW (+60% vs. 2025’s 27.2 GW) |
| Total planned US grid capacity additions in 2026 | 86 GW — record if realized |
| Solar share of 2026 planned additions | 51% |
| Solar generation share of US electricity (2025) | Nearly 9.0% (up from 6.9% in 2024) |
| Solar generation share — one decade ago | ~1.2–1.3% — now 7x higher |
| Renewables’ share of US electricity (2025) | More than 26% |
| Renewables share of US installed capacity (2025) | Over 36% |
| US solar module manufacturing capacity (end-2025) | 65.5 GW — up 50%+ from 42.5 GW at end-2024 |
| US solar market value (2024) | ~$71.3 billion |
| US solar jobs (2024, IREC Census) | 280,119 solar workers; 464,053 incl. storage |
| US solar jobs (late 2025 est.) | Over 280,000 workers |
| Average residential solar cost per watt (2025) | $2.56–$2.58/W before incentives |
| Average residential solar system total cost | $20,000–$30,500 before incentives |
| Texas — #1 state for new solar installations (2025) | 11 GW added — surpassed California |
| States setting new annual solar records in 2025 | 11 states |
| SEIA 10-year forecast — cumulative capacity by 2036 | ~769 GWdc (nearly triple 2025 level) |
| US solar capacity to add 2026–2036 (SEIA/WoodMac) | +490 GW additional |
Source: SEIA/Wood Mackenzie US Solar Market Insight 2025 Year in Review (released March 11, 2026), EIA Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory December 2025 (EIA.gov, January 2026), SUN DAY Campaign / EIA Electric Power Monthly (February 2026), pv-magazine USA (March 11, 2026), IREC National Solar Jobs Census (November 2025), SolarReviews Solar Workforce Statistics (late 2025), EnergySage Solar Panel Cost (January 2026)
The statistics in this table tell a story of historic structural transformation in the US energy system. Solar has been the #1 source of new electricity capacity in the US for five consecutive years — a streak that, according to both SEIA President Abigail Ross Hopper and Wood Mackenzie Head of Solar Michelle Davis, is not driven by incentives alone and is expected to continue regardless of tax policy. As Davis stated in the March 11, 2026 Year in Review release: “It’s clear that solar will continue to be the dominant source of new power capacity in the United States, even as gas generation continues to grow. Strong demand growth combined with escalating costs of new gas plants will allow solar to remain competitive, even without tax credits.” That competitive dynamic — solar and battery storage being economically superior to new natural gas for most US power system needs — is what makes the 2026 planned additions of 43.4 GW so significant. They are not subsidized bets on an unproven technology but commercially rational decisions by developers and utilities responding to electricity demand growing at its fastest rate in decades, driven by data center construction, EV charging infrastructure, and re-shoring of industrial manufacturing.
The US module manufacturing capacity reaching 65.5 GW by end-2025 — a 50%+ increase in a single year from 42.5 GW at end-2024 — represents the most consequential structural shift in the solar industry in years. When SEIA confirmed in early 2026 that the US now has the capacity to produce every major component of the solar supply chain domestically, it marked the completion of a reshoring effort that began with the Inflation Reduction Act’s domestic content incentives and accelerated sharply in response to the tariff environment of 2025. The fact that more than two-thirds of all solar capacity installed in 2025 was built in states won by President Trump — with Texas, Indiana, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Utah, and Arkansas among the top 10 states — is perhaps the most politically significant solar data point of 2026, demonstrating that the energy transition is no longer partisan geography but is following electricity demand and land availability across the entire country regardless of state politics.
US Solar Capacity Statistics in 2026
| Capacity Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Cumulative US solar — end of 2022 | ~113 GW (utility + small-scale) |
| Cumulative US solar — end of 2023 | ~141 GW (utility + small-scale); 91 GW utility-scale |
| Cumulative US solar — end of 2024 | ~177 GW (all); 121 GW utility; 50 GW added in 2024 — all-time annual record |
| Cumulative US solar — end of 2025 | ~211 GW (all); ~153 GW utility-scale (EIA); 279 GWdc SEIA measure |
| Cumulative US solar — end-2026 (EIA forecast) | ~182 GW utility-scale; ~324 GWdc SEIA all-in estimate |
| Doubling of cumulative capacity | From 91 GW (end-2023) to ~182 GW (end-2026) in just 3 years |
| Planned utility-scale solar additions — 2026 | 43.4 GW — 60% more than 2025 (27.2 GW) |
| 2025 utility-scale solar additions | 27.2 GW (+34.5% expansion) |
| 2024 utility-scale solar additions (record) | 30.8 GW |
| Largest 2026 solar project (US) | Tehuacana Creek 1 Solar + BESS — 837 MW solar + 418 MW storage in Texas |
| Texas cumulative solar capacity (mid-2025) | ~23 GW (#1 state — surpassed California in 2024) |
| California cumulative solar capacity | Over 46 GW total (incl. distributed/residential) |
| Florida cumulative solar capacity | ~14 GW |
| North Carolina cumulative solar capacity | ~9 GW |
| Texas new solar in 2025 | 11 GW — #1 state |
| Small-scale solar additions (2025) | +6.27 GW (+11%) |
| SEIA 10-year forecast cumulative 2036 | 769 GWdc — nearly triple 2025 |
| SEIA 10-year forecast additional capacity 2026–2036 | 490 GW new |
| Community solar cumulative capacity (Q4 2025) | 10.1 GWdc — surpassed 10 GW milestone |
Source: EIA Today In Energy — “New US Electric Generating Capacity Expected to Reach a Record High in 2026” (January 2026, based on December 2025 inventory), EIA pv-magazine report (April 2025), SUN DAY Campaign / EIA Electric Power Monthly (February 2026), SEIA/Wood Mackenzie Solar Market Insight 2025 Year in Review (released March 11, 2026), Sunhub tariff impact analysis (June 2025)
US power plant developers plan to add 86 GW of new utility-scale electric generating capacity in 2026, with solar comprising 51% of the total at 43.4 GW — a 60% increase in capacity additions from 2025. That singular figure — 43.4 GW of planned utility-scale solar additions in 2026 — is larger than the entire US solar industry installed in all years from its founding through 2020 combined. It reflects the convergence of the lowest solar installation costs in history, the largest electricity demand growth since the early 2000s, and a massive project pipeline that developers accelerated into the 2026–2028 window following the tax credit changes made by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in mid-2025. The EIA notes that the 2026 total planned grid additions of 86 GW would exceed the previous record of 58 GW set in 2002 — and unlike that prior record, which was almost entirely natural gas, the 2026 record additions are 93% clean energy (solar, storage, and wind combined).
The geographic shift in US solar leadership is one of the most consequential spatial data stories in US energy. Texas surpassed California as the state with the most utility-scale solar capacity in 2024, added 11 GW more in 2025, and accounts for 12.9 GW of planned 2026 battery storage additions — more than half of the entire national BESS total. The state’s combination of abundant flat land, strong solar irradiance, a deregulated electricity market (ERCOT) that efficiently prices and dispatches new renewable capacity, and enormous electricity demand growth from data centers and petrochemical industries has made it the undisputed center of gravity for US solar and storage deployment. Indiana’s near-doubling from 1.6 GW in 2024 to nearly 3 GW in 2025 and Utah’s rapid growth tell a parallel story: Midwest and Mountain West states with lower land costs, simpler permitting, and growing industrial electricity demand are emerging as the second tier of solar growth markets.
US Solar Energy Generation Statistics in 2026
| Generation Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Solar share of US electricity — 2024 | 6.9% | EIA Electric Power Monthly |
| Solar share of US electricity — 2025 | Nearly 9.0% | SUN DAY Campaign / EIA (Feb 2026) |
| Solar share — one decade ago (~2015) | ~1.2–1.3% — 7x lower | EIA historical |
| Renewables share of US electricity — 2025 | More than 26% | SUN DAY Campaign / EIA (Feb 2026) |
| Renewables share of US installed capacity — 2025 | Over 36% | SUN DAY Campaign |
| Wind + solar share of US generation — 2025 | Almost one-fifth (nearly 20%) | SUN DAY Campaign |
| Wind + solar vs. coal — 2025 | +15.7% more electricity than coal | SUN DAY Campaign (Feb 2026) |
| Wind + solar vs. nuclear — 2025 | +8.7% more electricity than nuclear | SUN DAY Campaign |
| Solar utility-scale PV expansion 2025 | +34.5% | EIA Electric Power Monthly |
| Small-scale PV growth 2025 | +11% | EIA Electric Power Monthly |
| Natural gas generation change 2025 | -3.3% (dropped) | SUN DAY Campaign |
| US electricity demand growth 2025 | +~3% | pv-magazine USA (March 12, 2026) |
| Total US electricity demand growth since 2021 | +~9% | pv-magazine USA (March 12, 2026) |
| Wind + solar + BESS — 2026 vs. 2025 additions | +60% more added to grid (SUN DAY forecast) | SUN DAY Campaign (Feb 2026) |
| Renewables as 2nd largest US electricity source | Behind natural gas only | SUN DAY Campaign (Feb 2026) |
| DOE 30% solar by 2030 goal | On track in high-demand scenario | SEIA/WoodMac YiR 2026 |
Source: SUN DAY Campaign / EIA Electric Power Monthly through end of 2025 (published February 2026), pv-magazine USA “Renewables Produced More Than 25% of US Electricity by End of 2025” (February 28, 2026), SEIA/WoodMac US Solar Market Insight 2025 YiR (March 11, 2026), US Department of Energy Solar Futures Study
Solar’s jump from 6.9% to nearly 9% of US electricity in a single year is the kind of percentage-point gain that takes a decade in conventional energy infrastructure. It reflects both the massive 2024–2025 capacity installation surge and the fact that solar panel efficiency and capacity factors continue to improve — more electricity is generated per installed megawatt than in prior generations of equipment. The broader renewable picture is equally transformative: wind and solar combined now generate more electricity than coal in the United States — by a margin of 15.7% — and more than nuclear by 8.7%. Coal’s share of US electricity generation has fallen below 15% for the first time in the modern industrial era, while renewables have crossed 26% of total generation for the first time. This is not a projection — it is documented by the EIA’s Electric Power Monthly data, the authoritative federal source for US electricity statistics.
The US electricity demand growth story is the critical underpinning of the entire solar expansion. US electricity demand grew approximately 3% in 2025 — the fastest pace since the early 2000s — and is up ~9% since 2021, reversing two decades of near-flat demand trends. The primary drivers are data center electricity consumption (growing at 20–30% annually as AI infrastructure scales), EV charging load (as millions of electric vehicles require overnight charging), and industrial reshoring (semiconductor fabs, battery factories, and other large-load manufacturing facilities returning to the US). This demand growth means the US needs to add electricity capacity at a rate not seen since the natural gas build-out of the late 1990s and early 2000s — and solar, with its shorter construction timelines (months vs. years for gas), lower cost, and modular scalability, is structurally better positioned than any other energy source to meet that demand. SEIA’s Wood Mackenzie models project solar will constitute roughly half of all new US capacity added each year through 2060 — not because of policy mandates, but because it is the cheapest and fastest way to build new electricity.
US Solar Segment Statistics in 2026
| Segment | 2025 Capacity Added | Key 2026 Trend | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utility-scale solar | 34.7 GWdc (−16% vs. 2024 due to Q4 delays) | 43.4 GW planned — +25% vs. 2025 actual | SEIA/WoodMac YiR; EIA |
| Residential solar | 4,647 MWdc (−2% vs. 2024) | Headwinds — 30% ITC expired Dec 31, 2025 | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Commercial solar | 2,345 MWdc (+6% vs. 2024) | Expected to decrease in 2026 (NEM 2.0 pipeline fading) | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Community solar | 1,435 MWdc (−25% vs. 2024) | +12% growth expected in 2026 | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Total all segments — 2025 | 43.2 GWdc (−14% vs. 2024’s record) | Strong utility pipeline into 2026 | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Residential ITC expiration | Section 25D expired December 31, 2025 (OBBBA) | No federal credit for new residential installs in 2026 | Solar.com (Jan 2026) |
| Commercial/utility ITC (Section 48E) | Modified — deadline changes under OBBBA | Developers “safe harboring” projects into 2026–2028 | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| % Q4 2025 residential installs still NEM 2.0 (CA) | More than 70% | NEM 2.0 pipeline fading; NBT replacing | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| US module manufacturing capacity — end-2024 | 42.5 GW | — | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| US module manufacturing capacity — end-2025 | 65.5 GW (+50%+ YoY) | Full supply chain reshored | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Wafer manufacturing | Came online for first time since 2016 in Q3 2025 | US now produces all major solar components | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Cell manufacturing | Continued expanding through 2025 | — | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Community solar cumulative | 10.1 GWdc — surpassed 10 GW milestone | — | SEIA YiR (March 2026) |
Source: SEIA/Wood Mackenzie Solar Market Insight 2025 Year in Review (March 11, 2026 — seia.org), Solar.com “Solar Pricing in 2026” (January 20, 2026), pv-magazine USA (March 11, 2026)
The segment-level data from SEIA’s 2025 Year in Review reveals a solar market undergoing a fundamental policy-driven restructuring. The utility-scale segment’s 16% decline in 2025 — from 41.2 GWdc in 2024 to 34.7 GWdc in 2025 — is not a demand problem; it is a tax credit timing problem. When Congress passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in mid-2025 and changed the commercial ITC deadline structure, developers calculated that projects did not need to be energized by year-end 2025 to preserve tax credit eligibility — they only needed to begin construction (“safe harbor”). The result was a massive Q4 deferral: projects that had been scheduled for Q4 2025 commercial operation were pushed into 2026 or 2027, creating a dip in 2025 actual installations even as the underlying project pipeline was stronger than ever. The EIA’s January 2026 forecast of 43.4 GW for 2026 largely represents the return of that deferred capacity.
The residential segment faces a structurally different and more serious challenge in 2026. The Section 25D residential solar tax credit — the 30% federal ITC for homeowners — expired on December 31, 2025 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. For the first time since 2005, homeowners installing solar in 2026 will receive no federal tax credit on their investment, increasing the effective out-of-pocket cost by roughly 30% for the typical system. This is the most significant residential solar headwind since California’s NEM 3.0 transition in 2023, and the SEIA/Wood Mackenzie forecast explicitly expects the residential segment to face challenges in 2026 as a result. The mitigating factors are state-level incentives (still available in California, New York, Massachusetts, and dozens of other states via DSIRE-tracked programs), solar loan financing (where immediate cash-flow savings from eliminating electricity bills can still justify installation even without the ITC), and the fundamental reality that in states with 30–45 cent/kWh retail electricity rates — California, New York, Hawaii — solar’s economics remain compelling without federal support.
US Solar Cost & Pricing Statistics in 2026
| Cost Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Average residential cost per watt (EnergySage, 2025/2026) | $2.56–$2.58/W before incentives | EnergySage (Jan 2026); NREL |
| Average residential cost per watt — national range | $2.50–$3.50/W | Multiple market sources |
| National median price (LBNL cash purchases, 2024) | $3.50/W (Oct 2025 report) | Lawrence Berkeley National Lab |
| EnergySage marketplace prices vs. LBNL median | Over 25% lower than national median | EnergySage (Jan 2026) |
| Average total residential system cost (EnergySage) | $30,505 (12 kW system) | EnergySage (Jan 2026) |
| Typical residential total range | $20,000–$30,500 before incentives | EnergySage; multiple sources |
| Post-OBBBA price increase (residential) | +~$0.15/W added after OBBBA signing | Solar.com (Jan 2026) |
| Tariff impact — solar panel import cost increase | +3–4 cents/W (panels); +2–3 cents/W (balance of system) | Solar.com tariff analysis |
| Domestic Tier-1 module price (post-tariff) | ~$0.38/W (up from ~$0.35/W pre-tariff) | Sunhub (June 2025) |
| US solar residential cost 10 years ago (~2016) | ~$3.16/W | NREL via EnergySage |
| Residential cost reduction 10 years | ~22% lower than a decade ago | EnergySage |
| Lowest-cost state — Arizona | ~$2.10–$2.35/W | EnergySage / multiple sources |
| Lowest-cost state — Texas | ~$2.10–$2.35/W | EnergySage |
| Highest-cost state — Tennessee | ~$3.65/W | EnergySage (2024–2025) |
| California residential cost | $3.00–$3.75/W before incentives | Digital Windmill (March 2026) |
| Average payback period (US) | ~7.5 years | EnergySage / Industry (2024) |
| 25-year homeowner savings (average) | $34,000–$120,000 | Multiple sources; A1SolarStore |
| Solar system home value increase | +6.9% on average (2025 research) | Multiple |
| Federal residential ITC status (2026) | EXPIRED December 31, 2025 (Section 25D — OBBBA) | Solar.com; multiple |
| Commercial/utility ITC status (2026) | Section 48E still active — modified deadline rules | SEIA |
| 1977 solar panel cost per watt | $76.77/W | Solar.com historical |
| Cost reduction: 1977 to 2026 | ~97% decline over 49 years | Calculated |
Source: EnergySage Solar Panel Cost (January 14, 2026), Solar.com “Solar Pricing in 2026” (January 20, 2026), Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Tracking the Sun October 2025 report, NREL Spring 2025 Solar Industry Update, Digital Windmill “Solar in California” (March 2026), Sunhub tariff analysis (June 2025), A1SolarStore Solar Panel Costs (December 2025)
Solar’s cost trajectory is one of the most dramatic price declines in the history of any manufactured product. From $76.77 per watt in 1977 to a national average of $2.56–$2.58 per watt in 2025–2026 — a 97% cost reduction in less than 50 years — solar panels have followed what analysts call Swanson’s Law (the solar equivalent of Moore’s Law): roughly a 20% cost reduction for every doubling of cumulative installed capacity. As cumulative global solar installations have grown from megawatts to terawatts, costs have fallen accordingly. The national average of $2.58/W on the EnergySage marketplace in 2026 — which is 22% lower than a decade ago and more than 25% lower than the LBNL national median — represents both genuine technology-driven cost reduction and the efficiency gains that marketplaces create by increasing price transparency and installer competition.
The 2026 pricing environment is shaped by two countervailing forces: falling underlying costs (driven by improved manufacturing, higher efficiency panels, and scale economies) and upward price pressures from tariffs and the ITC expiration. The Trump administration’s reciprocal tariffs on imported solar panels — with Chinese-origin components facing 125% tariffs — created a $0.03–0.07/W upward adjustment on imported modules, partially offset by the competitiveness gains of US-manufactured alternatives. The OBBBA-driven price increase of roughly $0.15/W in the second half of 2025 (as installation demand surged ahead of the December 31 ITC expiration deadline) has partially normalized, but residential solar in 2026 costs approximately 30% more in after-incentive terms than in 2025, simply because the 30% federal tax credit no longer applies. In states like California, where retail electricity rates of 30–45 cents/kWh make solar’s payback period short regardless of federal subsidies, this change has limited impact. In states with lower retail electricity rates and smaller state-level incentive programs, the residential market faces a structurally more difficult economics environment in 2026.
US Solar Jobs Statistics in 2026
| Workforce Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Solar-majority-time workers — 2024 (IREC Census) | 280,119 | IREC 15th Annual Solar Jobs Census (Nov 2025) |
| Solar plurality-time workers — 2024 | 370,556 | IREC Census |
| Solar + storage total workforce — 2024 | 464,053 | IREC Census |
| Energy storage workers — 2024 | 93,497 (+4% YoY; +17% over 5 years) | IREC Census |
| US solar workers — late 2025 estimate | Over 280,000 (maturity phase) | SolarReviews workforce (late 2025) |
| Solar’s share of all US renewable energy jobs | More than 60% | SolarReviews / PVTECH |
| Solar vs. coal employment | Solar employs more than 3x as many workers as coal | IREC Census |
| US solar installation businesses — 2006 | 1,238 companies | SolarReviews |
| US solar installation businesses — 2026 | ~11,177 companies | SolarReviews (+802% in 20 years) |
| Median pay — Solar PV Installers (BLS) | $51,860/year ($24.93/hour) | BLS OES via SolarReviews |
| Highest-paid state — Rhode Island | $49.94/hour median (+100% above national avg) | BLS via SolarReviews |
| BLS projected growth — solar PV installers 2022–2032 | +27% — one of fastest-growing occupations | BLS Occupational Outlook |
| Top state for solar jobs — 2024 | California (despite ~1,000 job loss from NEM changes) | IREC Census |
| Top state for solar jobs per capita — 4 consecutive years | Nevada | IREC Census |
| #1 top state for solar additions / fastest-growing | Texas (2024–2025) | SEIA / IREC |
| States growing solar workforce in 2024 | 33 states | IREC Census |
| Of those 33: voted Trump in 2024 | 25 states | IREC Census |
| Two-thirds of all solar jobs segment | Installation and project development (178,713 workers) | IREC Census |
| Gen Z share of solar workforce (2022 data) | Nearly one-third (18–29 age group) | SEIA workforce data |
| Non-bachelor’s degree jobs in solar (2022) | 57% of new jobs | SEIA |
| DOE goal for solar workers by 2035 | 1 million workers | DOE Solar Futures Study |
Source: IREC 15th Annual National Solar Jobs Census (published November 20, 2025), SolarReviews 2025 Solar Workforce Statistics (late 2025), BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, SEIA Solar Jobs data (March 10, 2026 cheat sheet), US Department of Energy 2025 US Energy and Employment Report (USEER)
The IREC National Solar Jobs Census, published November 20, 2025 and based on a rigorous survey conducted with tens of thousands of energy firms for the DOE’s 2025 US Energy and Employment Report, is the authoritative source on US solar employment. Its headline finding: 280,119 workers were employed majority-time in solar in 2024, with 370,556 spending a plurality of their time on solar tasks, and a total solar + storage workforce of 464,053 — larger than the US coal industry by a factor of more than three. The figure that has not yet been measured — the 2025 employment impact — will be captured in the next IREC Census to be published in late 2026, and the Census explicitly notes that the 2024 baseline provides an important comparison point for measuring the impact of the OBBBA, tariff changes, and ITC expiration on employment in the years ahead.
The demographic story of the solar workforce is one of the most distinctive in the US labor market. 57% of new solar jobs in 2022 did not require a bachelor’s degree, making solar one of the most accessible high-growth sectors for workers without college credentials. Nearly one-third of the solar workforce is aged 18–29 — substantially higher than the 22% share of that age group in the overall US workforce — indicating that Gen Z workers are choosing solar at an outsized rate. The BLS projection of 27% job growth for solar PV installers from 2022 to 2032 makes it one of the fastest-growing occupations in the entire US economy. And the political geography is striking: 25 of the 33 states that grew their solar workforce in 2024 voted for President Trump in the presidential election — a data point that underscores the reality that the solar economy is creating jobs in red states at least as vigorously as in blue ones, driven by the economics of land, sun, and electricity demand rather than politics.
US Solar Energy Forecast Statistics in 2026
| Forecast Metric | Value | Source & Date |
|---|---|---|
| Planned US grid additions 2026 | 86 GW — record if realized | EIA Preliminary Inventory, Dec 2025 |
| Planned utility-scale solar 2026 | 43.4 GW (+60% vs. 2025’s 27.2 GW) | EIA Dec 2025 Inventory |
| Battery storage planned 2026 | 24 GW (vs. record 15 GW in 2025) | EIA Dec 2025 Inventory |
| Wind planned 2026 | ~12 GW (14% of total) | EIA Dec 2025 Inventory |
| Natural gas planned 2026 | 6.3 GW | EIA Dec 2025 Inventory |
| Solar + BESS + wind — 2026 total | ~79.4 GW = 93% of planned additions | Calculated from EIA |
| EIA estimate: large-scale solar 2026 | 44.47 GW | SUN DAY Campaign (Feb 2026) |
| New solar + wind + storage 2026 vs. 2025 | +60% more | SUN DAY Campaign |
| Community solar capacity growth 2026 | +12% nationally | SEIA YiR (March 2026) |
| US cumulative solar — end-2026 (EIA) | ~182 GW utility-scale | pv-magazine (April 2025 EIA update) |
| US cumulative solar — end-2026 (SEIA all-in) | ~324 GWdc | SEIA/WoodMac YiR (March 2026) |
| SEIA cumulative solar 2036 | 769 GWdc — nearly triple 2025 | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| Average annual additions 2026–2036 | More than 44 GWdc/year | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| SEIA high-case 2036 (with favorable policy) | 56 GWdc above base case from 2026–2036 | SEIA YiR |
| Power demand CAGR 2026–2040 (high case) | 3.2% annually | SEIA YiR |
| Power demand CAGR 2026–2040 (low case) | 2.1% annually | SEIA YiR |
| WoodMac: solar = half of new capacity through 2060 | Across all US power sector outlooks | SEIA/WoodMac YiR |
| DOE goal: solar 40% of US electricity by 2035 | On track in high-demand scenario | DOE Solar Futures Study |
| SEIA goal: 30% of US electricity from solar by 2030 | Requires ~30 GW/yr through 2030 — currently exceeding | SEIA; BLS |
Source: EIA “New US Electric Generating Capacity Expected to Reach a Record High in 2026” (January 2026), EIA Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory December 2025, SUN DAY Campaign / EIA Electric Power Monthly (February 2026), SEIA/Wood Mackenzie Solar Market Insight 2025 Year in Review (March 11, 2026), pv-magazine “US Total Solar Capacity to Reach 182 GW by End of 2026” (April 14, 2025)
The 2026 capacity forecast represents the single biggest year in US electricity infrastructure history if realized. Developers plan to add 43.4 GW of new utility-scale solar capacity in 2026, a 60% increase in capacity additions from 2025 if realized. Solar power makes up 51% of the planned 2026 capacity additions, followed by battery storage at 28% and wind at 14%. The key risk to the forecast is not demand — electricity demand has never been stronger — but interconnection queue backlogs, transmission constraints, and the Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) rules that affect Chinese-origin solar components and could restrict module availability for some projects. SEIA’s Wood Mackenzie modeled three scenarios; the range from low to high case results in 56 GW more total solar capacity installed between 2026 and 2036 in the high case versus the base case, with the primary driver being the resolution of FEOC rules and trade actions.
The Wood Mackenzie long-term conviction — that solar will constitute roughly half of all new US capacity added through 2060, regardless of the policy environment — is based on a straightforward economic analysis. Solar’s levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) in the US now ranges from approximately $24–60/MWh for utility-scale systems, compared to $60–100/MWh for new natural gas combined-cycle plants and significantly higher for nuclear. That cost advantage, combined with solar’s modular scalability (you can add 1 MW or 1,000 MW with the same technology), short construction timeline (months vs. years), declining battery storage costs that address the intermittency challenge, and no fuel price risk, means that even without a single dollar of federal subsidy, solar is the most economically rational choice for most new US electricity capacity additions. The SEIA’s goal of 30% of US electricity from solar by 2030 — which requires approximately 30 GW of annual additions — is already being exceeded, with 2025 actual installations of 43 GW and 2026 planned additions of 43.4 GW both well above the target rate. In the trajectory mapped by SEIA and Wood Mackenzie, solar’s 9% share of US electricity generation in 2025 could reach 40% by 2035 — a transformation of the US energy system of historic proportions.
Disclaimer: The data reports published on The Global Files are sourced from publicly available materials considered reliable. While efforts are made to ensure accuracy, no guarantees are provided regarding completeness or reliability. The Global Files is not liable for any errors, omissions, or damages resulting from the use of these reports.

